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Tuesday 8 November 2011

Why China is unlikely to attack India now

Why China is unlikely   to attack India now

Why China is unlikely to attack India now
In recent weeks, several senior analysts have predicted a repeat of the 1962 conflict between India and China. The most prominent is Brahma Chellaney of the Centre for Policy Research who wrote in India Today: "As the 50th anniversary of China's invasion approaches, history is in danger of repeating itself, with Chinese military pressures and aggressive designs against India not only mirroring the pre-1962 war situation but also extending to Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) and the oceans around India."
"China's expanding axis of evil with Pakistan, including a new troop presence in PoK, heightens India's vulnerability in Jammu and Kashmir, even as India has beefed up its defences in Arunachal Pradesh."
Ali Ahmed, a Senior IDSA Fellow published a Brief ("A Consideration of Sino-Indian Conflict") in which he attempted to fill a gap "by dilating upon conflict scenarios along the spectrum of conflict."
Ahmed wrote of limited hostilities which "could be confined to a specific section of the border, limited in duration and amenable to a negotiated termination," a Kargil-type situation.
Ahmed also examined the possibility of China "indulging in a territorial grab by entering an area such as Tawang in Arunachal Pradesh".
Image: Soldiers from the PLA's 6th Armoured Division, seen carrying the Chinese type 97 semi-auto machine guns, march at their military base on the outskirts of Beijing on March 31, 2009. (Photo credit: AP)

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