Why China is unlikely   to attack India now

In recent weeks, several senior analysts have predicted a repeat of the 1962 conflict between India and China. The most prominent is Brahma Chellaney of the Centre for Policy Research who wrote in India Today: "As the 50th anniversary of China's invasion approaches, history is in danger of repeating itself, with Chinese military pressures and aggressive designs against India not only mirroring the pre-1962 war situation but also extending to Pakistan-occupied Kashmir (PoK) and the oceans around India."
"China's expanding axis of evil with Pakistan, including a new troop presence in PoK, heightens India's vulnerability in Jammu and Kashmir, even as India has beefed up its defences in Arunachal Pradesh."
Ali Ahmed, a Senior IDSA Fellow published a Brief ("A Consideration of Sino-Indian Conflict") in which he attempted to fill a gap "by dilating upon conflict scenarios along the spectrum of conflict."
Ahmed wrote of limited hostilities which "could be confined to a specific section of the border, limited in duration and amenable to a negotiated termination," a Kargil-type situation.
Ahmed also examined the possibility of China "indulging in a territorial grab by entering an area such as Tawang in Arunachal Pradesh".
Image: Soldiers from the PLA's 6th Armoured Division, seen carrying the Chinese type 97 semi-auto machine guns, march at their military base on the outskirts of Beijing on March 31, 2009. (Photo credit: AP)